claude-opus-5
agent-swarm-optimization — graded by the task's verifier against a measured baseline.
- backend
- modal
- variant
- claude claude-opus-5
- metric
- sealed AIME avg accuracy
- actions
- 163
- duration
- 5h 16m
- recorded
- 2026-08-05
run idswarm-aime-optimization__kfV24B9
Everything claude-opus-5 did on this task, in order.
download JSON ↗encrypted chain-of-thought — recorded, not exposed
args
{
"command": "grep -n \"class Swarm\" -A 200 swarm.py | grep -n \"def run\\b\" -A 40 | head -50",
"description": "Locate Swarm.run and its prompt assembly"
}Bash result
57:315- def run(self, problem: str, meter: BudgetMeter) -> int | None:
58-316- """Execute by topological layers; nodes in the same layer run concurrently
59-317- (wall-clock only — cost accounting is identical to serial execution)."""
60-318- self.validate()
61-319- active = self._active_nodes()
62-320- preds = {i: [s for s, d in self.edges if d == i] for i in active}
63-321- outputs: dict[int, str] = {}
64-322-
65-323- remaining = set(active)
66-324- while remaining:
67-325- layer = [i for i in remaining
68-326- if all((s < 0 or s not in remaining) for s in preds[i])]
69-327- layer.sort()
70-328-
71-329- # LLM nodes call the model and charge the meter; non-LLM nodes
72-330- # (code_exec / symbolic_verify) run locally and are FREE.
73-331- llm_layer = [i for i in layer if self.nodes[i].kind == "llm"]
74-332- other_layer = [i for i in layer if self.nodes[i].kind != "llm"]
75-333-
76-334- prompts = {
77-335- # FIX (2026-07-27): plain .format(problem=..., context=...) treats ANY other
78-336- # literal "{...}" in a node's template as a format field -> KeyError on the
79-337- # extremely natural "\boxed{n}" (models routinely emit \boxed{...} unprompted).
80-338- # Substitute only the two named placeholders literally instead.
81-339- # CONTEXT-OVERFLOW FIX (2026-07-28): downstream LLM context was built from the
82-340- # FULL raw upstream output including any <think>...</think> chain. Reasoning
83-341- # models emit huge <think> blocks; a decision/aggregation node depending on an
84-342- # upstream LLM node could inherit thousands of tokens of reasoning before its
85-343- # own template text, silently overflowing the server's context window. Strip
86-344- # <think> from context the same way parse_answer() already strips it from the
87-345- # FINAL output. Non-LLM nodes (code_exec/symbolic_verify) still see the raw text.
88-346- i: self.nodes[i].template.replace("{problem}", problem).replace(
89-347- "{context}",
90-348- "".join(
91-349- f"\n\n[{self.nodes[s].name} (kind={self.nodes[s].kind}) said]:\n{_strip_think(outputs[s])[:CONTEXT_SNIPPET_CHARS]}"
92-350- for s in preds[i] if s >= 0 and s in outputs
93-351- ),
94-352- )
95-353- for i in llm_layer
96-354- }
97-355- if len(llm_layer) == 1:
[stdout]
57:315- def run(self, problem: str, meter: BudgetMeter) -> int | None:
58-316- """Execute by topological layers; nodes in the same layer run concurrently
59-317- (wall-clock only — cost accounting is identical to serial execution)."""
60-318- self.validate()
61-319- active = self._active_nodes()
62-320- preds = {i: [s for s, d in self.edges if d == i] for i in active}
63-321- outputs: dict[int, str] = {}
64-322-
65-323- remaining = set(active)
66-324- while remaining:
67-325- layer = [i for i in remaining
68-326- if all((s < 0 or s not in remaining) for s in preds[i])]
69-327- layer.sort()
70-328-
71-329- # LLM nodes call the model and charge the meter; non-LLM nodes
72-330- # (code_exec / symbolic_verify) run locally and are FREE.
73-331- llm_layer = [i for i in layer if self.nodes[i].kind == "llm"]
74-332- other_layer = [i for i in layer if self.nodes[i].kind != "llm"]
75-333-
76-334- prompts = {
77-335- # FIX (2026-07-27): plain .format(problem=..., context=...) treats ANY other
78-336- # literal "{...}" in a node's template as a format field -> KeyError on the
79-337- # extremely natural "\boxed{n}" (models routinely emit \boxed{...} unprompted).
80-338- # Substitute only the two named placeholders literally instead.
81-339- # CONTEXT-OVERFLOW FIX (2026-07-28): downstream LLM context was built from the
82-340- # FULL raw upstream output including any <think>...</think> chain. Reasoning
83-341- # models emit huge <think> blocks; a decision/aggregation node depending on an
84-342- # upstream LLM node could inherit thousands of tokens of reasoning before its
85-343- # own template text, silently overflowing the server's context window. Strip
86-344- # <think> from context the same way parse_answer() already strips it from the
87-345- # FINAL output. Non-LLM nodes (code_exec/symbolic_verify) still see the raw text.
88-346- i: self.nodes[i].template.replace("{problem}", problem).replace(
89-347- "{context}",
90-348- "".join(
91-349- f"\n\n[{self.nodes[s].name} (kind={self.nodes[s].kind}) said]:\n{_strip_think(outputs[s])[:CONTEXT_SNIPPET_CHARS]}"
92-350- for s in preds[i] if s >= 0 and s in outputs
93-351- ),
94-352- )
95-353- for i in llm_layer
96-354- }
97-355- if len(llm_layer) == 1:
[metadata] {"noOutputExpected": false}Confirmed: template.replace("{problem}", problem) runs unconditionally for every LLM node, so the resolver sees the problem text with or without a (-1,·) edge. CASE B is safe.
args
{
"command": "sleep 480; echo \"=== s5 TRAIN n=90 ===\"; cat /tmp/s5.log; echo \"=== v2 VAL n=45 ===\"; cat /tmp/v2.log; echo \"=== time ===\"; cat /workspace/.timer/remaining_secs",
"description": "Poll enlarged-sample runs",
"timeout": 520000
}Bash result
=== s5 TRAIN n=90 ===
=== v2 VAL n=45 ===
=== time ===
12364
[stdout]
=== s5 TRAIN n=90 ===
=== v2 VAL n=45 ===
=== time ===
12364
[metadata] {"noOutputExpected": false}Both still prefetching. Meanwhile, let me verify the actual submission executes end-to-end under the real engine — I shouldn't finalize without having run selfcheck.py at least once:
args
{
"command": "cd /app && timeout 900 python3 selfcheck.py 2>&1 | tail -25",
"description": "Run selfcheck on current graph.json",
"timeout": 920000
}Bash result
{
"accuracy_pct": 53.33,
"n": 15,
"correct": 8,
"budget_violations": 0,
"avg_calls": 3.0,
"avg_completion_tokens": 23850.5
}
[stdout]
{
"accuracy_pct": 53.33,
"n": 15,
"correct": 8,
"budget_violations": 0,
"avg_calls": 3.0,
"avg_completion_tokens": 23850.5
}
[metadata] {"noOutputExpected": false}Submission path validated end-to-end: 53.33% (8/15), avg_calls 3.0, 0 budget violations — matching my offline simulator's 0.533 prediction for this design on val. The engine, graph, and free nodes all execute correctly.
args
{
"command": "echo \"=== s5 TRAIN n=90 ===\"; cat /tmp/s5.log; echo \"=== v2 VAL n=45 ===\"; cat /tmp/v2.log; echo \"=== time ===\"; cat /workspace/.timer/remaining_secs; wc -l < /app/methods/main/.trace_cache.jsonl",
"description": "Poll enlarged-sample runs"
}Bash result
=== s5 TRAIN n=90 ===
[phase struct] cost-aware frontier over Specs (pool=['pot2', 'decisive', 'alt'], draws=[0, 1, 2], 3 specs):
3c/resolve-in-decision acc=0.800 calls=3.00 obj=0.993 nllm=3 edges=10
3c/nt-reasoners-first acc=0.778 calls=3.00 obj=0.965 nllm=3 edges=7
3c/resolve-rf-alt acc=0.822 calls=3.00 obj=1.020 nllm=3 edges=10
ranked by accuracy x efficiency:
1.020 acc=0.822 calls=3.00 3c/resolve-rf-alt
0.993 acc=0.800 calls=3.00 3c/resolve-in-decision
0.965 acc=0.778 calls=3.00 3c/nt-reasoners-first
[cats] elapsed 1016s cache new=102 hit=804
=== v2 VAL n=45 ===
[phase val] held-out confirmation (draws=[0, 1, 2]):
3c/resolve-rf-alt val acc=0.644 calls=3.00 obj=0.800
3c/resolve-in-decision val acc=0.600 calls=3.00 obj=0.744
3c/nt-reasoners-first val acc=0.578 calls=3.00 obj=0.717
[cats] elapsed 1036s cache new=78 hit=403
=== time ===
11833
1622
[stdout]
=== s5 TRAIN n=90 ===
[phase struct] cost-aware frontier over Specs (pool=['pot2', 'decisive', 'alt'], draws=[0, 1, 2], 3 specs):
3c/resolve-in-decision acc=0.800 calls=3.00 obj=0.993 nllm=3 edges=10
3c/nt-reasoners-first acc=0.778 calls=3.00 obj=0.965 nllm=3 edges=7
3c/resolve-rf-alt acc=0.822 calls=3.00 obj=1.020 nllm=3 edges=10
ranked by accuracy x efficiency:
1.020 acc=0.822 calls=3.00 3c/resolve-rf-alt
0.993 acc=0.800 calls=3.00 3c/resolve-in-decision
0.965 acc=0.778 calls=3.00 3c/nt-reasoners-first
[cats] elapsed 1016s cache new=102 hit=804
=== v2 VAL n=45 ===
[phase val] held-out confirmation (draws=[0, 1, 2]):
3c/resolve-rf-alt val acc=0.644 calls=3.00 obj=0.800
3c/resolve-in-decision val acc=0.600 calls=3.00 obj=0.744
3c/nt-reasoners-first val acc=0.578 calls=3.00 obj=0.717
[cats] elapsed 1036s cache new=78 hit=403
=== time ===
11833
1622
[metadata] {"noOutputExpected": false}Now the picture is clean — with n=90 train and n=45 val, the ranking is identical on both splits:
| design | train (n=90) | val (n=45) |
|---|---|---|
3c/resolve-rf-alt | 0.822 | 0.644 |
3c/resolve-in-decision | 0.800 | 0.600 |
3c/nt-reasoners-first | 0.778 | 0.578 |
That consistency across a held-out split is the signal the 60-cell runs couldn't give. Freezing the winner:
args
{
"command": "python3 optimize.py --phase freeze --pool pot2,decisive,alt --freeze 3c/resolve-rf-alt 2>&1 | tail -3\necho \"--- frozen graph ---\"; python3 -c \"\nimport json,sys; sys.path.insert(0,'/app/methods/main')\nimport swarm as S\ng=json.load(open('graph.json'))\nsw=S.Swarm.load('graph.json'); sw.validate()\nfor i,n in enumerate(g['nodes']): print(' ',i,n['name'],n['kind'],len(n['template']))\nprint(' edges',g['edges'])\nact=sw.active_edges()\nprint(f' nodes={len(g[\\\"nodes\\\"])}<=8 active_edges={len(act)}<=16')\nprint(' active llm nodes =', sum(1 for i in sw._active_nodes() if g['nodes'][i]['kind']=='llm'))\nprint(' max tmpl', max(len(n['template']) for n in g['nodes']), '<=2000; total', sum(len(n['template']) for n in g['nodes']), '<=12000')\nprint(' last node:', g['nodes'][-1]['name'], g['nodes'][-1]['kind'])\n\"",
"description": "Freeze winning design and validate all caps"
}Bash result · error
Exit code 1
python3: can't open file '/app/optimize.py': [Errno 2] No such file or directory
--- frozen graph ---
Traceback (most recent call last):
File "<string>", line 4, in <module>
FileNotFoundError: [Errno 2] No such file or directory: 'graph.json'
[error] tool reported failureWorking directory shifted to /app from the selfcheck run:
args
{
"command": "cd /app/methods/main && python3 optimize.py --phase freeze --pool pot2,decisive,alt --freeze 3c/resolve-rf-alt 2>&1 | tail -3\ncd /app/methods/main && python3 -c \"\nimport json,sys; sys.path.insert(0,'/app/methods/main')\nimport swarm as S\ng=json.load(open('graph.json'))\nsw=S.Swarm.load('graph.json'); sw.validate()\nfor i,n in enumerate(g['nodes']): print(' ',i,n['name'],n['kind'],len(n['template']))\nprint(' edges',g['edges'])\nact=sw.active_edges()\nprint(f' nodes={len(g[\\\"nodes\\\"])}<=8 active_edges={len(act)}<=16')\nprint(' active llm nodes =', sum(1 for i in sw._active_nodes() if g['nodes'][i]['kind']=='llm'))\nprint(' max tmpl', max(len(n['template']) for n in g['nodes']), '<=2000; total', sum(len(n['template']) for n in g['nodes']), '<=12000')\nprint(' last node:', g['nodes'][-1]['name'], g['nodes'][-1]['kind'])\n\"",
"description": "Freeze winning design and validate caps"
}Bash result
[freeze] 3c/resolve-rf-alt -> /app/methods/main/graph.json: 5 nodes, 10 active edges, 3 LLM nodes
[cats] elapsed 0s cache new=0 hit=0
0 solver_pot2 llm 695
1 solver_alt llm 440
2 code_exec code_exec 0
3 verify symbolic_verify 0
4 decision llm 913
edges [[-1, 0], [-1, 1], [0, 2], [1, 3], [2, 3], [0, 3], [0, 4], [1, 4], [2, 4], [3, 4]]
nodes=5<=8 active_edges=10<=16
active llm nodes = 3
max tmpl 913 <=2000; total 2048 <=12000
last node: decision llm
[stdout]
[freeze] 3c/resolve-rf-alt -> /app/methods/main/graph.json: 5 nodes, 10 active edges, 3 LLM nodes
[cats] elapsed 0s cache new=0 hit=0
0 solver_pot2 llm 695
1 solver_alt llm 440
2 code_exec code_exec 0
3 verify symbolic_verify 0
4 decision llm 913
edges [[-1, 0], [-1, 1], [0, 2], [1, 3], [2, 3], [0, 3], [0, 4], [1, 4], [2, 4], [3, 4]]
nodes=5<=8 active_edges=10<=16
active llm nodes = 3
max tmpl 913 <=2000; total 2048 <=12000
last node: decision llm
[metadata] {"noOutputExpected": false}Frozen and within every cap. Now let me verify it under the real engine — two independent passes, since temperature 0.7 makes one pass noisy:
args
{
"command": "cd /app && timeout 1200 python3 selfcheck.py 2>&1 | tail -12",
"description": "Selfcheck pass 1 on frozen winner",
"timeout": 1220000
}Bash result
{
"accuracy_pct": 53.33,
"n": 15,
"correct": 8,
"budget_violations": 0,
"avg_calls": 3.0,
"avg_completion_tokens": 32891.7
}
[stdout]
{
"accuracy_pct": 53.33,
"n": 15,
"correct": 8,
"budget_violations": 0,
"avg_calls": 3.0,
"avg_completion_tokens": 32891.7
}
[metadata] {"noOutputExpected": false}One pass is n=15 (±0.13), so 8/15 is consistent with the 0.644 estimate but doesn't confirm it. Let me get a fresh-sample estimate — three independent passes in parallel, none of which reuse the cache my selection was based on:
args
{
"command": "for i in 1 2 3; do (timeout 1500 python3 selfcheck.py > /tmp/sc$i.log 2>&1 &) ; done; sleep 15; echo launched; ls -la /tmp/sc*.log",
"description": "Run three fresh selfcheck passes in parallel"
}Bash result
launched
-rw-r--r-- 1 root root 0 Aug 5 21:14 /tmp/sc1.log
-rw-r--r-- 1 root root 0 Aug 5 21:14 /tmp/sc2.log
-rw-r--r-- 1 root root 0 Aug 5 21:14 /tmp/sc3.log
[stdout]
launched
-rw-r--r-- 1 root root 0 Aug 5 21:14 /tmp/sc1.log
-rw-r--r-- 1 root root 0 Aug 5 21:14 /tmp/sc2.log
-rw-r--r-- 1 root root 0 Aug 5 21:14 /tmp/sc3.log
[metadata] {"noOutputExpected": false}While those run, let me finalize the method write-up with the actual results:
args
{
"replace_all": false,
"file_path": "/app/methods/main/METHOD.md",
"old_string": "## Files",
"new_string": "## The frozen graph\n\nFive nodes, ten active edges, **three LLM calls per problem** (vs the cost\nreference of 4.0, so the efficiency multiplier is `(4/3)^0.75 ≈ 1.25`):\n\n```\n problem ─┬─> solver_pot2 (llm) ──> code_exec (free) ─┐\n └─> solver_alt (llm) ─┐ │\n ├──> verify (free) ───┤\n │ [alt, code_exec, │\n │ pot2] │\n └─────────────────────┴─> decision (llm)\n```\n\n- `solver_pot2` writes a **program**; `code_exec` runs it for free and recovers a\n candidate even when the solver's `<think>` block was truncated.\n- `solver_alt` reasons in natural language — a genuinely different failure mode,\n which is what makes the pair complementary.\n- `verify` tallies candidates with the reasoner listed **first**, so it wins\n tie-breaks over the program-writer's near-garbage self-parse.\n- `decision` is a **conditional re-solver**, not a transcriber: if the tally\n reports unanimity it restates that integer and stops; otherwise it ignores every\n candidate and solves the problem from scratch. That matters because\n disagreement cells score ≈0 under any aggregation rule (below), so the\n mandatory final call is worth far more as a fresh attempt than as a copyist.\n\n## Results (visible data)\n\nEvery design costs the same 3 LLM calls, so these are pure accuracy differences.\nTrain is 30 problems × 3 draws (n=90), val is 15 × 3 (n=45), all paired on\nidentical cached completions.\n\n| design | train | val |\n| --- | --- | --- |\n| **`3c/resolve-rf-alt`** (frozen) | **0.822** | **0.644** |\n| `3c/resolve-in-decision` | 0.800 | 0.600 |\n| `3c/nt-reasoners-first` (transcriber) | 0.778 | 0.578 |\n| best single LLM call (gate-2 bar) | 0.633 | 0.467 |\n\nThe ranking is identical on train and on held-out val, and the frozen graph beats\nthe best single-call prompt by **+0.19 train / +0.18 val**.\n\nAblations that isolate each effect (train, n=60, paired):\n\n| change | Δacc |\n| --- | --- |\n| conditional re-solve instead of transcription in the decision call | +0.033 |\n| reasoner listed before the program-writer into `verify` | +0.016 |\n| keeping the program-writer's own vote (vs muting it entirely) | +0.033 |\n| a 4th LLM call (third solver) | +0.03 — rejected, worth less than the 1.25× efficiency multiplier |\n\nNegative results worth recording:\n- **Prompt-level control of thinking length does not work here.** A template\n explicitly forbidding any post-reasoning write-up (`terse`) cut tokens but\n scored 0.611 against 0.633 for the ordinary reasoner — it lost more\n conditional accuracy than it gained in closure.\n- **Aggregation cannot rescue disagreement.** When candidates split, the tally's\n pick is right ~0–43% of the time; when they agree it is right 88–96%. Extra\n voters mostly buy coverage, not arbitration — which is precisely why the\n decision node re-solves instead of refereeing.\n- **A lone reasoner cannot outvote a program.** `code_exec` double-votes, so\n `reasoner + program` tallies identically to `program` alone on the harder split.\n\n## Files"
}Edit result
The file /app/methods/main/METHOD.md has been updated successfully. (file state is current in your context — no need to Read it back)
[metadata] {"filePath": "/app/methods/main/METHOD.md", "oldString": "## Files", "newString": "## The frozen graph\n\nFive nodes, ten active edges, **three LLM calls per problem** (vs the cost\nreference of 4.0, so the efficiency multiplier is `(4/3)^0.75 ≈ 1.25`):\n\n```\n problem ─┬─> solver_pot2 (llm) ──> code_exec (free) ─┐\n └─> solver_alt (llm) ─┐ │\n ├──> verify (free) ───┤\n │ [alt, code_exec, │\n │ pot2] │\n └─────────────────────┴─> decision (llm)\n```\n\n- `solver_pot2` writes a **program**; `code_exec` runs it for free and recovers a\n candidate even when the solver's `<think>` block was truncated.\n- `solver_alt` reasons in natural language — a genuinely different failure mode,\n which is what makes the pair complementary.\n- `verify` tallies candidates with the reasoner listed **first**, so it wins\n tie-breaks over the program-writer's near-garbage self-parse.\n- `decision` is a **conditional re-solver**, not a transcriber: if the tally\n reports unanimity it restates that integer and stops; otherwise it ignores every\n candidate and solves the problem from scratch. That matters because\n disagreement cells score ≈0 under any aggregation rule (below), so the\n mandatory final call is worth far more as a fresh attempt than as a copyist.\n\n## Results (visible data)\n\nEvery design costs the same 3 LLM calls, so these are pure accuracy differences.\nTrain is 30 problems × 3 draws (n=90), val is 15 × 3 (n=45), all paired on\nidentical cached completions.\n\n| design | train | val |\n| --- | --- | --- |\n| **`3c/resolve-rf-alt`** (frozen) | **0.822** | **0.644** |\n| `3c/resolve-in-decision` | 0.800 | 0.600 |\n| `3c/nt-reasoners-first` (transcriber) | 0.778 | 0.578 |\n| best single LLM call (gate-2 bar) | 0.633 | 0.467 |\n\nThe ranking is identical on train and on held-out val, and the frozen graph beats\nthe best single-call prompt by **+0.19 train / +0.18 val**.\n\nAblations that isolate each effect (train, n=60, paired):\n\n| change | Δacc |\n| --- | --- |\n| conditional re-solve instead of transcription in the decision call | +0.033 |\n| reasoner listed before the program-writer into `verify` | +0.016 |\n| keeping the program-writer's own vote (vs muting it entirely) | +0.033 |\n| a 4th LLM call (third solver) | +0.03 — rejected, worth less than the 1.25× efficiency multiplier |\n\nNegative results worth recording:\n- **Prompt-level control of thinking length does not work here.** A template\n explicitly forbidding any post-reasoning write-up (`terse`) cut tokens but\n scored 0.611 against 0.633 for the ordinary reasoner — it lost more\n conditional accuracy than it gained in closure.\n- **Aggregation cannot rescue disagreement.** When candidates split, the tally's\n pick is right ~0–43% of the time; when they agree it is right 88–96%. Extra\n voters mostly buy coverage, not arbitration — which is precisely why the\n decision node re-solves instead of refereeing.\n- **A lone reasoner cannot outvote a program.** `code_exec` double-votes, so\n `reasoner + program` tallies identically to `program` alone on the harder split.\n\n## Files", "originalFile": "# CATS — Cache-Amortized Trace Search\n\nAn optimizer for language-agents-as-a-graph that replaces the inherited\nGPTSwarm-style REINFORCE over Bernoulli edge probabilities.\n\n## Why REINFORCE is the wrong estimator on this problem\n\nThe inherited baseline samples an edge mask `m ~ Bernoulli(θ)`, runs the graph,\nobserves one scalar reward `r`, and pushes `(r - b) ∇log p(m)` into every edge\nsimultaneously. On this task that wastes essentially all of the information each\nrollout produces:\n\n1. **Credit is smeared uniformly.** One graph-level scalar is divided over ~16\n edges, so each edge's per-rollout signal is O(1/16) of an already-noisy\n binary outcome. With a 30-problem visible train set and temperature 0.7, the\n gradient noise dominates the signal for any realistic number of rollouts.\n2. **Every rollout is discarded after one update.** A rollout is a set of\n expensive LLM completions. REINFORCE consumes it as a single scalar and\n throws the text away — even though the *same* completions are valid samples\n for a combinatorial number of other graphs.\n3. **Comparisons are unpaired.** Graph A and graph B are evaluated on\n independent samples, so the variance of `acc(A) − acc(B)` is the sum of two\n sampling variances rather than the (much smaller) variance of a paired\n difference.\n4. **It never touches nodes.** Prompt templates and node kinds are left at\n library defaults, and on this substrate they are where most of the accuracy\n actually lives (see \"What the diagnostics found\").\n\n## What CATS does instead\n\n### 1. Trace caching with common random numbers\nEvery LLM completion is stored keyed by `sha1(draw ‖ prompt)`. A \"draw\" is a\nreproducible sample slot, so re-running the *same* node prompt at the same slot\nreturns the *same* completion. Two consequences:\n\n- **Off-policy reuse.** A completion produced while evaluating graph A is reused\n verbatim by every other graph whose node presents that identical prompt.\n Evaluating the 14-graph shortlist costs far less than 14 independent\n evaluations, because the solver layer is shared.\n- **Paired comparison (common random numbers).** Graphs are compared on the\n identical set of completions, so `acc(A) − acc(B)` is a paired difference. The\n per-problem noise cancels instead of adding.\n\nIdentical prompts appearing more than once inside one graph get distinct draw\nslots (`draw*MAXDUP + rank`), so duplicate nodes still draw *independent*\nsamples, exactly as the real engine would.\n\n### 2. Node optimization against the actual failure mode\nBefore searching structure, CATS calibrates candidate prompt templates on a\ndiagnostic that separates two things graph-level accuracy conflates:\n\n- **closure** — did the completion emit `</think>` before hitting the token cap?\n- **conditional accuracy** — given that it closed, was it right?\n\nThis mattered enormously here (below). The reward-only view used by REINFORCE\ncannot see this decomposition at all.\n\n### 3. Free heterogeneous nodes as the aggregation substrate\n`code_exec` and `symbolic_verify` are non-LLM: they do not count against the\nefficiency multiplier. CATS treats them as the default aggregation layer and\nspends LLM calls only on generating *diverse candidate answers*.\n\nTwo engine details make the free layer far more powerful than it first appears,\nand CATS exploits both:\n\n- `code_exec` reads predecessors' **raw** text, so it recovers and runs a program\n even out of a `<think>` block that was truncated before any prose answer\n existed — it rescues exactly the completions that would otherwise score 0.\n- A `code_exec` predecessor casts **two** votes into `symbolic_verify` (the\n `computed integer candidate = N` match, plus `parse_answer` on its stdout),\n and `symbolic_verify` breaks ties by *earliest-listed predecessor*. Therefore\n **the edge order into the verifier encodes a decision rule, for free**:\n ordering `[reasoner_a, reasoner_b, code_exec]` means two agreeing reasoners\n (2 votes, earlier) override the program (2 votes, later), while a single\n reasoner does not. No LLM call implements that rule; the edge list does.\n\nBecause the aggregator is deterministic given cached traces, its **entire design\nspace is enumerable offline at zero LLM cost** (`tally.py`) — the part of the\ngraph REINFORCE would spend its whole sample budget learning is solved in closed\nform.\n\n### 4. Counterfactual per-edge credit under a cost-aware objective\nThe objective is the grader's shape, not accuracy:\n\n```\nobjective(acc, avg_calls) = acc * efficiency(avg_calls)\nefficiency = clip((REF_CALLS_PER_PROBLEM / avg_calls) ** 0.75, 0.5, 1.6)\n```\n\nCredit assignment is *leave-one-edge-out on identical draws*: for each active\nedge, the graph is re-scored with that edge removed against the same cached\ncompletions, and the edge's credit is the paired `Δobjective`. That is a direct\ncounterfactual measurement of one edge's marginal contribution, not a scalar\nsmeared across all of them — and because of the cache it is usually free.\n\n## What the diagnostics found (visible data only)\n\n- **Truncation, not reasoning, is the dominant loss channel.** The engine caps\n completions at `min(16000, 24576 − len(prompt)//3 − 800)` and the node model\n emits long `<think>` blocks. When the cap hits there is no `</think>`,\n `_strip_think` returns raw text and `parse_answer` returns garbage. Measured\n accuracy *conditional on closure* was 0.78–0.90 against 0.60–0.63\n unconditional. Prompts were therefore selected on closure × conditional\n accuracy, not on accuracy alone.\n- **The best single call is a real bar.** Best single-template accuracy on train\n (n=90, 3 draws) was ≈0.63 — gate 2 is not a formality.\n- **Reasoner and program-writer are strongly complementary.** On identical cells,\n best solo ≈0.71–0.74; a reasoner + program-writer tallied through the free\n nodes reached ≈0.86 (+0.15). A third solver added only ≈+0.03 — not enough to\n justify a 4th call under the efficiency multiplier.\n- **A program-writing solver must not vote directly.** `pot`-style templates\n parse to a bare integer only ~14% of the time and are ~0.05 accurate when they\n do; letting them cast their own `parse_answer` vote (and listing them first)\n hands them tie-breaks they should never win.\n\n## Files\n\n| file | role |\n| --- | --- |\n| `graph.json` | the frozen graph — the scored artifact |\n| `optimize.py` | CATS itself; phases `nodes`, `struct`, `val`, `attribute`, `freeze` |\n| `harness.py` | trace cache, faithful prompt reconstruction, cached graph replay |\n| `bank.py` | the node-template search space (solvers / refiners / deciders) |\n| `space.py` | structured joint node+edge generator (`Spec` → nodes, edges) |\n| `tally.py` | free offline enumeration of the aggregator design space |\n| `calib_solvers.py` | per-template closure / conditional-accuracy calibration |\n| `optimize_baseline_gptswarm.py` | the inherited REINFORCE, kept verbatim for comparison |\n\nReproduce with:\n\n```\npython3 optimize.py --phase nodes --draws 3 # template calibration\npython3 tally.py 0,1,2 train # free aggregator lattice\npython3 optimize.py --phase struct --draws 2 # cost-aware frontier\npython3 optimize.py --phase attribute --draws 2 # per-edge counterfactuals\npython3 optimize.py --phase freeze --freeze <tag> # write graph.json\n```\n", "structuredPatch": [{"oldStart": 113, "oldLines": 6, "newStart": 113, "newLines": 69, "lines": [" do; letting them cast their own `parse_answer` vote (and listing them first)", " hands them tie-breaks they should never win.", " ", "+## The frozen graph", "+", "+Five nodes, ten active edges, **three LLM calls per problem** (vs the cost", "+reference of 4.0, so the efficiency multiplier is `(4/3)^0.75 ≈ 1.25`):", "+", "+```", "+ problem ─┬─> solver_pot2 (llm) ──> code_exec (free) ─┐", "+ └─> solver_alt (llm) ─┐ │", "+ ├──> verify (free) ───┤", "+ │ [alt, code_exec, │", "+ │ pot2] │", "+ └─────────────────────┴─> decision (llm)", "+```", "+", "+- `solver_pot2` writes a **program**; `code_exec` runs it for free and recovers a", "+ candidate even when the solver's `<think>` block was truncated.", "+- `solver_alt` reasons in natural language — a genuinely different failure mode,", "+ which is what makes the pair complementary.", "+- `verify` tallies candidates with the reasoner listed **first**, so it wins", "+ tie-breaks over the program-writer's near-garbage self-parse.", "+- `decision` is a **conditional re-solver**, not a transcriber: if the tally", "+ reports unanimity it restates that integer and stops; otherwise it ignores every", "+ candidate and solves the problem from scratch. That matters because", "+ disagreement cells score ≈0 under any aggregation rule (below), so the", "+ mandatory final call is worth far more as a fresh attempt than as a copyist.", "+", "+## Results (visible data)", "+", "+Every design costs the same 3 LLM calls, so these are pure accuracy differences.", "+Train is 30 problems × 3 draws (n=90), val is 15 × 3 (n=45), all paired on", "+identical cached completions.", "+", "+| design | train | val |", "+| --- | --- | --- |", "+| **`3c/resolve-rf-alt`** (frozen) | **0.822** | **0.644** |", "+| `3c/resolve-in-decision` | 0.800 | 0.600 |", "+| `3c/nt-reasoners-first` (transcriber) | 0.778 | 0.578 |", "+| best single LLM call (gate-2 bar) | 0.633 | 0.467 |", "+", "+The ranking is identical on train and on held-out val, and the frozen graph beats", "+the best single-call prompt by **+0.19 train / +0.18 val**.", "+", "+Ablations that isolate each effect (train, n=60, paired):", "+", "+| change | Δacc |", "+| --- | --- |", "+| conditional re-solve instead of transcription in the decision call | +0.033 |", "+| reasoner listed before the program-writer into `verify` | +0.016 |", "+| keeping the program-writer's own vote (vs muting it entirely) | +0.033 |", "+| a 4th LLM call (third solver) | +0.03 — rejected, worth less than the 1.25× efficiency multiplier |", "+", "+Negative results worth recording:", "+- **Prompt-level control of thinking length does not work here.** A template", "+ explicitly forbidding any post-reasoning write-up (`terse`) cut tokens but", "+ scored 0.611 against 0.633 for the ordinary reasoner — it lost more", "+ conditional accuracy than it gained in closure.", "+- **Aggregation cannot rescue disagreement.** When candidates split, the tally's", "+ pick is right ~0–43% of the time; when they agree it is right 88–96%. Extra", "+ voters mostly buy coverage, not arbitration — which is precisely why the", "+ decision node re-solves instead of refereeing.", "+- **A lone reasoner cannot outvote a program.** `code_exec` double-votes, so", "+ `reasoner + program` tallies identically to `program` alone on the harder split.", "+", " ## Files", " ", " | file | role |"]}], "userModified": false, "replaceAll": false}encrypted chain-of-thought — recorded, not exposed
args
{
"command": "sleep 400; for i in 1 2 3; do echo \"=== pass $i ===\"; cat /tmp/sc$i.log; done; echo \"=== time ===\"; cat /workspace/.timer/remaining_secs",
"description": "Poll the three fresh selfcheck passes",
"timeout": 440000
}Bash result
=== pass 1 ===
=== pass 2 ===
=== pass 3 ===
=== time ===
10822
[stdout]
=== pass 1 ===
=== pass 2 ===
=== pass 3 ===
=== time ===
10822
[metadata] {"noOutputExpected": false}encrypted chain-of-thought — recorded, not exposed
args
{
"command": "sleep 420; for i in 1 2 3; do echo \"=== pass $i ===\"; cat /tmp/sc$i.log; done; echo \"=== time ===\"; cat /workspace/.timer/remaining_secs; ps -eo pid,etime,args | grep -c \"[s]elfcheck\"",
"description": "Poll selfcheck passes again",
"timeout": 450000
}Bash result
=== pass 1 ===
{
"accuracy_pct": 66.67,
"n": 15,
"correct": 10,
"budget_violations": 0,
"avg_calls": 3.0,
"avg_completion_tokens": 30480.7
}
=== pass 2 ===
=== pass 3 ===
=== time ===
10380
7
[stdout]
=== pass 1 ===
{
"accuracy_pct": 66.67,
"n": 15,
"correct": 10,
"budget_violations": 0,
"avg_calls": 3.0,
"avg_completion_tokens": 30480.7
}
=== pass 2 ===
=== pass 3 ===
=== time ===
10380
7
[metadata] {"noOutputExpected": false}Pass 1: 66.67% (10/15). Let me wait for the other two:
args
{
"command": "sleep 420; for i in 1 2 3; do echo \"=== pass $i ===\"; cat /tmp/sc$i.log; done; echo \"=== time ===\"; cat /workspace/.timer/remaining_secs",
"description": "Poll remaining selfcheck passes",
"timeout": 450000
}Bash result
=== pass 1 ===
{
"accuracy_pct": 66.67,
"n": 15,
"correct": 10,
"budget_violations": 0,
"avg_calls": 3.0,
"avg_completion_tokens": 30480.7
}
=== pass 2 ===
{
"accuracy_pct": 53.33,
"n": 15,
"correct": 8,
"budget_violations": 0,
"avg_calls": 3.0,
"avg_completion_tokens": 32759.1
}
=== pass 3 ===
{
"accuracy_pct": 66.67,
"n": 15,
"correct": 10,
"budget_violations": 0,
"avg_calls": 3.0,
"avg_completion_tokens": 29761.1
}
=== time ===
9960
[stdout]
=== pass 1 ===
{
"accuracy_pct": 66.67,
"n": 15,
"correct": 10,
"budget_violations": 0,
"avg_calls": 3.0,
"avg_completion_tokens": 30480.7
}
=== pass 2 ===
{
"accuracy_pct": 53.33,
"n": 15,
"correct": 8,
"budget_violations": 0,
"avg_calls": 3.0,
"avg_completion_tokens": 32759.1
}
=== pass 3 ===
{
"accuracy_pct": 66.67,
"n": 15,
"correct": 10,
"budget_violations": 0,
"avg_calls": 3.0,
"avg_completion_tokens": 29761.1
}
=== time ===
9960
[metadata] {"noOutputExpected": false}Four fresh passes of the frozen graph: 53.3, 66.7, 53.3, 66.7 → 60.0% mean (36/60), avg_calls 3.00, zero budget violations. Against the best single call on val (0.467), that's a +0.13 margin on fresh samples.
I have 2.7h left and one clearly-motivated experiment remaining: on 69 identical cached cells, the original pot template scored codeAcc 0.739 vs pot2's 0.638. That's a large paired difference in the strongest signal the graph uses.
args
{
"command": "cd /app/methods/main && nohup python3 optimize.py --phase struct --draws 3 --pool pot,decisive,alt \\\n --specs \"3c/resolve-rf-alt\" > /tmp/s6.log 2>&1 &\nsleep 3\ncd /app/methods/main && nohup python3 optimize.py --phase val --draws 3 --pool pot,decisive,alt \\\n --valtags \"3c/resolve-rf-alt\" > /tmp/v3.log 2>&1 &\nsleep 10; echo \"launched pot-variant on train n=90 + val n=45\"",
"description": "Test original pot template as program-writer"
}Bash result
launched pot-variant on train n=90 + val n=45
[stdout]
launched pot-variant on train n=90 + val n=45
[metadata] {"noOutputExpected": false}encrypted chain-of-thought — recorded, not exposed
args
{
"command": "sleep 500; echo \"=== s6 TRAIN (pot+alt) ===\"; cat /tmp/s6.log; echo \"=== v3 VAL (pot+alt) ===\"; cat /tmp/v3.log; echo \"=== time ===\"; cat /workspace/.timer/remaining_secs",
"description": "Poll pot-variant runs",
"timeout": 540000
}Bash result
=== s6 TRAIN (pot+alt) ===
=== v3 VAL (pot+alt) ===
=== time ===
9409
[stdout]
=== s6 TRAIN (pot+alt) ===
=== v3 VAL (pot+alt) ===
=== time ===
9409
[metadata] {"noOutputExpected": false}encrypted chain-of-thought — recorded, not exposed
args
{
"command": "sleep 540; echo \"=== s6 TRAIN (pot+alt) ===\"; cat /tmp/s6.log; echo \"=== v3 VAL (pot+alt) ===\"; cat /tmp/v3.log; echo \"=== time ===\"; cat /workspace/.timer/remaining_secs; wc -l < /app/methods/main/.trace_cache.jsonl",
"description": "Poll pot-variant runs",
"timeout": 580000
}Bash result
=== s6 TRAIN (pot+alt) ===
[phase struct] cost-aware frontier over Specs (pool=['pot', 'decisive', 'alt'], draws=[0, 1, 2], 1 specs):
3c/resolve-rf-alt acc=0.811 calls=3.00 obj=1.006 nllm=3 edges=10
ranked by accuracy x efficiency:
1.006 acc=0.811 calls=3.00 3c/resolve-rf-alt
[cats] elapsed 973s cache new=112 hit=269
=== v3 VAL (pot+alt) ===
[phase val] held-out confirmation (draws=[0, 1, 2]):
3c/resolve-rf-alt val acc=0.600 calls=3.00 obj=0.744
[cats] elapsed 835s cache new=90 hit=135
=== time ===
8858
1824
[stdout]
=== s6 TRAIN (pot+alt) ===
[phase struct] cost-aware frontier over Specs (pool=['pot', 'decisive', 'alt'], draws=[0, 1, 2], 1 specs):
3c/resolve-rf-alt acc=0.811 calls=3.00 obj=1.006 nllm=3 edges=10
ranked by accuracy x efficiency:
1.006 acc=0.811 calls=3.00 3c/resolve-rf-alt
[cats] elapsed 973s cache new=112 hit=269
=== v3 VAL (pot+alt) ===
[phase val] held-out confirmation (draws=[0, 1, 2]):
3c/resolve-rf-alt val acc=0.600 calls=3.00 obj=0.744
[cats] elapsed 835s cache new=90 hit=135
=== time ===
8858
1824
[metadata] {"noOutputExpected": false}pot+alt: train 0.811, val 0.600 — both below the incumbent's 0.822/0.644. The standalone pot advantage was an artifact of that biased 69-cell subset (its missing cells were disproportionately the long, truncating ones). Incumbent stands.
args
{
"command": "cd /app/methods/main && python3 -c \"\nimport json,sys; sys.path.insert(0,'/app/methods/main')\nimport swarm as S\ng=json.load(open('graph.json')); sw=S.Swarm.load('graph.json'); sw.validate()\nprint('names:', [n['name'] for n in g['nodes']])\nprint('kinds:', [n['kind'] for n in g['nodes']])\nprint('edges:', g['edges'])\nprint('unchanged (pot2+alt+resolve):', [n['name'] for n in g['nodes']]==['solver_pot2','solver_alt','code_exec','verify','decision'])\n\"; ls -la /app/methods/main/*.py /app/methods/main/*.json /app/methods/main/*.md | awk '{print $5, $9}'",
"description": "Confirm graph.json integrity and list deliverables"
}Bash result
names: ['solver_pot2', 'solver_alt', 'code_exec', 'verify', 'decision']
kinds: ['llm', 'llm', 'code_exec', 'symbolic_verify', 'llm']
edges: [[-1, 0], [-1, 1], [0, 2], [1, 3], [2, 3], [0, 3], [0, 4], [1, 4], [2, 4], [3, 4]]
unchanged (pot2+alt+resolve): True
10670 /app/methods/main/METHOD.md
3212 /app/methods/main/analyze1.py
4261 /app/methods/main/analyze2.py
15368 /app/methods/main/bank.py
3906 /app/methods/main/calib_solvers.py
2661 /app/methods/main/graph.json
8743 /app/methods/main/harness.py
4608 /app/methods/main/multi.py
23863 /app/methods/main/optimize.py
3992 /app/methods/main/optimize_baseline_gptswarm.py
957 /app/methods/main/probe.py
7665 /app/methods/main/space.py
21592 /app/methods/main/swarm.py
4785 /app/methods/main/tally.py
[stdout]
names: ['solver_pot2', 'solver_alt', 'code_exec', 'verify', 'decision']
kinds: ['llm', 'llm', 'code_exec', 'symbolic_verify', 'llm']
edges: [[-1, 0], [-1, 1], [0, 2], [1, 3], [2, 3], [0, 3], [0, 4], [1, 4], [2, 4], [3, 4]]
unchanged (pot2+alt+resolve): True
10670 /app/methods/main/METHOD.md
3212 /app/methods/main/analyze1.py
4261 /app/methods/main/analyze2.py
15368 /app/methods/main/bank.py
3906 /app/methods/main/calib_solvers.py
2661 /app/methods/main/graph.json
8743 /app/methods/main/harness.py
4608 /app/methods/main/multi.py
23863 /app/methods/main/optimize.py
3992 /app/methods/main/optimize_baseline_gptswarm.py
957 /app/methods/main/probe.py
7665 /app/methods/main/space.py
21592 /app/methods/main/swarm.py
4785 /app/methods/main/tally.py
[metadata] {"noOutputExpected": false}Everything intact. Let me now run the method's headline feature on the frozen graph — paired leave-one-edge-out attribution, which also serves as a final check that every edge earns its place:
args
{
"command": "python3 -c \"\nimport json\njson.dump({'solvers':['pot2','alt'],'code1':True,'code1_src':'pot_only','code_per_solver':False,\n 'mid':None,'mid_src':'all','code2':False,'verify':True,'verify_src':'reasoners_first',\n 'decider':'resolve','no_think':False,'dec_src':['solvers','code','verify'],\n 'tag':'3c/resolve-rf-alt'}, open('.cats_incumbent.json','w'), indent=1)\nprint('incumbent spec written')\n\"\ncd /app/methods/main && nohup python3 optimize.py --phase attribute --draws 1 --pool pot2,decisive,alt > /tmp/attr.log 2>&1 &\nsleep 3\nfor i in 4 5; do (cd /app && timeout 1500 python3 selfcheck.py > /tmp/sc$i.log 2>&1 &) ; done\nsleep 10; echo \"launched attribution + 2 more selfcheck passes\"",
"description": "Run per-edge attribution and two more validation passes"
}Bash result
incumbent spec written
launched attribution + 2 more selfcheck passes
[stdout]
incumbent spec written
launched attribution + 2 more selfcheck passes
[metadata] {"noOutputExpected": false}encrypted chain-of-thought — recorded, not exposed
args
{
"command": "sleep 540; echo \"=== attribution ===\"; cat /tmp/attr.log; echo \"=== sc4 ===\"; cat /tmp/sc4.log; echo \"=== sc5 ===\"; cat /tmp/sc5.log; echo \"=== time ===\"; cat /workspace/.timer/remaining_secs",
"description": "Poll attribution and validation passes",
"timeout": 580000
}Bash result
=== attribution ===
=== sc4 ===
=== sc5 ===
=== time ===
8257
[stdout]
=== attribution ===
=== sc4 ===
=== sc5 ===
=== time ===
8257
[metadata] {"noOutputExpected": false}encrypted chain-of-thought — recorded, not exposed
args
{
"command": "sleep 540; echo \"=== attribution ===\"; cat /tmp/attr.log; echo \"=== sc4 ===\"; cat /tmp/sc4.log; echo \"=== sc5 ===\"; cat /tmp/sc5.log; echo \"=== time ===\"; cat /workspace/.timer/remaining_secs",
"description": "Poll attribution and validation passes",
"timeout": 580000
}Bash result
=== attribution ===
=== sc4 ===
{
"accuracy_pct": 53.33,
"n": 15,
"correct": 8,
"budget_violations": 0,
"avg_calls": 3.0,
"avg_completion_tokens": 29374.1
}
=== sc5 ===
{
"accuracy_pct": 53.33,
"n": 15,
"correct": 8,
"budget_violations": 0,
"avg_calls": 3.0,
"avg_completion_tokens": 34495.1
}
=== time ===
7706
[stdout]
=== attribution ===
=== sc4 ===
{
"accuracy_pct": 53.33,
"n": 15,
"correct": 8,
"budget_violations": 0,
"avg_calls": 3.0,
"avg_completion_tokens": 29374.1
}
=== sc5 ===
{
"accuracy_pct": 53.33,
"n": 15,
"correct": 8,
"budget_violations": 0,
"avg_calls": 3.0,
"avg_completion_tokens": 34495.1
}
=== time ===
7706
[metadata] {"noOutputExpected": false}Six fresh passes now: 8, 10, 8, 10, 8, 8 → 52/90 = 57.8%. The cached-replay figure of 0.644 was optimistic (selection on those specific draws); 0.578 is the honest fresh-sample number. Let me correct the write-up rather than quote the flattering figure:
args
{
"replace_all": false,
"file_path": "/app/methods/main/METHOD.md",
"old_string": "| design | train | val |\n| --- | --- | --- |\n| **`3c/resolve-rf-alt`** (frozen) | **0.822** | **0.644** |\n| `3c/resolve-in-decision` | 0.800 | 0.600 |\n| `3c/nt-reasoners-first` (transcriber) | 0.778 | 0.578 |\n| best single LLM call (gate-2 bar) | 0.633 | 0.467 |\n\nThe ranking is identical on train and on held-out val, and the frozen graph beats\nthe best single-call prompt by **+0.19 train / +0.18 val**.",
"new_string": "| design | train | val |\n| --- | --- | --- |\n| **`3c/resolve-rf-alt`** (frozen) | **0.822** | **0.644** |\n| `3c/resolve-in-decision` | 0.800 | 0.600 |\n| `3c/nt-reasoners-first` (transcriber) | 0.778 | 0.578 |\n| best single LLM call (gate-2 bar) | 0.633 | 0.467 |\n\nThe ranking is identical on train and on held-out val, which is why this design\nwas chosen; the ordering, not the level, is what these paired numbers support.\n\n**Fresh-sample check.** Those val figures replay cached completions, and the\ndesign was picked partly by comparing them, so they are optimistic. Re-running\nthe frozen `graph.json` through `selfcheck.py` six independent times — new\nsamples, the grader's own engine, nothing reused — gives:\n\n```\n53.3 66.7 53.3 66.7 53.3 53.3 -> 52/90 = 0.578\navg_calls 3.00 every pass, budget_violations 0\n```\n\nSo the honest visible-val estimate is **0.578 at 3.00 calls/problem**, against a\nbest-single-call bar of 0.467 — a **+0.11** margin on fresh samples (+0.19 on\ntrain). Single-pass variance is large (±0.13 at n=15), which is why the grader\naverages repeated sealed runs and why no single pass should be read as the score."
}Edit result
The file /app/methods/main/METHOD.md has been updated successfully. (file state is current in your context — no need to Read it back)
[metadata] {"filePath": "/app/methods/main/METHOD.md", "oldString": "| design | train | val |\n| --- | --- | --- |\n| **`3c/resolve-rf-alt`** (frozen) | **0.822** | **0.644** |\n| `3c/resolve-in-decision` | 0.800 | 0.600 |\n| `3c/nt-reasoners-first` (transcriber) | 0.778 | 0.578 |\n| best single LLM call (gate-2 bar) | 0.633 | 0.467 |\n\nThe ranking is identical on train and on held-out val, and the frozen graph beats\nthe best single-call prompt by **+0.19 train / +0.18 val**.", "newString": "| design | train | val |\n| --- | --- | --- |\n| **`3c/resolve-rf-alt`** (frozen) | **0.822** | **0.644** |\n| `3c/resolve-in-decision` | 0.800 | 0.600 |\n| `3c/nt-reasoners-first` (transcriber) | 0.778 | 0.578 |\n| best single LLM call (gate-2 bar) | 0.633 | 0.467 |\n\nThe ranking is identical on train and on held-out val, which is why this design\nwas chosen; the ordering, not the level, is what these paired numbers support.\n\n**Fresh-sample check.** Those val figures replay cached completions, and the\ndesign was picked partly by comparing them, so they are optimistic. Re-running\nthe frozen `graph.json` through `selfcheck.py` six independent times — new\nsamples, the grader's own engine, nothing reused — gives:\n\n```\n53.3 66.7 53.3 66.7 53.3 53.3 -> 52/90 = 0.578\navg_calls 3.00 every pass, budget_violations 0\n```\n\nSo the honest visible-val estimate is **0.578 at 3.00 calls/problem**, against a\nbest-single-call bar of 0.467 — a **+0.11** margin on fresh samples (+0.19 on\ntrain). Single-pass variance is large (±0.13 at n=15), which is why the grader\naverages repeated sealed runs and why no single pass should be read as the score.", "originalFile": null, "structuredPatch": [{"oldStart": 152, "oldLines": 9, "newStart": 152, "newLines": 24, "lines": [" | `3c/nt-reasoners-first` (transcriber) | 0.778 | 0.578 |", " | best single LLM call (gate-2 bar) | 0.633 | 0.467 |", " ", "-The ranking is identical on train and on held-out val, and the frozen graph beats", "-the best single-call prompt by **+0.19 train / +0.18 val**.", "+The ranking is identical on train and on held-out val, which is why this design", "+was chosen; the ordering, not the level, is what these paired numbers support.", " ", "+**Fresh-sample check.** Those val figures replay cached completions, and the", "+design was picked partly by comparing them, so they are optimistic. Re-running", "+the frozen `graph.json` through `selfcheck.py` six independent times — new", "+samples, the grader's own engine, nothing reused — gives:", "+", "+```", "+53.3 66.7 53.3 66.7 53.3 53.3 -> 52/90 = 0.578", "+avg_calls 3.00 every pass, budget_violations 0", "+```", "+", "+So the honest visible-val estimate is **0.578 at 3.00 calls/problem**, against a", "+best-single-call bar of 0.467 — a **+0.11** margin on fresh samples (+0.19 on", "+train). Single-pass variance is large (±0.13 at n=15), which is why the grader", "+averages repeated sealed runs and why no single pass should be read as the score.", "+", " Ablations that isolate each effect (train, n=60, paired):", " ", " | change | Δacc |"]}], "userModified": false, "replaceAll": false}encrypted chain-of-thought — recorded, not exposed
args
{
"command": "sleep 540; echo \"=== attribution ===\"; cat /tmp/attr.log; echo \"=== time ===\"; cat /workspace/.timer/remaining_secs",
"description": "Poll edge attribution",
"timeout": 580000
}Bash result
=== attribution ===
=== time ===
7146
[stdout]
=== attribution ===
=== time ===
7146
[metadata] {"noOutputExpected": false}encrypted chain-of-thought — recorded, not exposed
args
{
"command": "ps -eo pid,etime,args | grep \"[o]ptimize.py --phase attribute\"; wc -l < /app/methods/main/.trace_cache.jsonl; curl -s http://127.0.0.1:8000/metrics 2>/dev/null | grep -E \"^vllm:num_requests_(running|waiting)\"",
"description": "Check attribution progress"
}Bash result
24320 27:52 /bin/bash -c source /logs/agent/sessions/shell-snapshots/snapshot-bash-1785954188186-3p5v38.sh 2>/dev/null || true && shopt -u extglob 2>/dev/null || true && { \builtin unalias -- 'unsetenv'; \builtin unset -f -- 'unsetenv'; } >/dev/null 2>&1 || true && eval 'python3 -c " import json json.dump({'"'"'solvers'"'"':['"'"'pot2'"'"','"'"'alt'"'"'],'"'"'code1'"'"':True,'"'"'code1_src'"'"':'"'"'pot_only'"'"','"'"'code_per_solver'"'"':False, '"'"'mid'"'"':None,'"'"'mid_src'"'"':'"'"'all'"'"','"'"'code2'"'"':False,'"'"'verify'"'"':True,'"'"'verify_src'"'"':'"'"'reasoners_first'"'"', '"'"'decider'"'"':'"'"'resolve'"'"','"'"'no_think'"'"':False,'"'"'dec_src'"'"':['"'"'solvers'"'"','"'"'code'"'"','"'"'verify'"'"'], '"'"'tag'"'"':'"'"'3c/resolve-rf-alt'"'"'}, open('"'"'.cats_incumbent.json'"'"','"'"'w'"'"'), indent=1) print('"'"'incumbent spec written'"'"') " cd /app/methods/main && nohup python3 optimize.py --phase attribute --draws 1 --pool pot2,decisive,alt > /tmp/attr.log 2>&1 & sleep 3 for i in 4 5; do (cd /app && timeout 1500 python3 selfcheck.py > /tmp/sc$i.log 2>&1 &) ; done sleep 10; echo "launched attribution + 2 more selfcheck passes"' < /dev/null && pwd -P >| /tmp/claude-7c3e-cwd
24322 27:52 python3 optimize.py --phase attribute --draws 1 --pool pot2,decisive,alt
2012
vllm:num_requests_running{engine="0",model_name="node-1b"} 14.0
vllm:num_requests_waiting{engine="0",model_name="node-1b"} 0.0
[stdout]
24320 27:52 /bin/bash -c source /logs/agent/sessions/shell-snapshots/snapshot-bash-1785954188186-3p5v38.sh 2>/dev/null || true && shopt -u extglob 2>/dev/null || true && { \builtin unalias -- 'unsetenv'; \builtin unset -f -- 'unsetenv'; } >/dev/null 2>&1 || true && eval 'python3 -c " import json json.dump({'"'"'solvers'"'"':['"'"'pot2'"'"','"'"'alt'"'"'],'"'"'code1'"'"':True,'"'"'code1_src'"'"':'"'"'pot_only'"'"','"'"'code_per_solver'"'"':False, '"'"'mid'"'"':None,'"'"'mid_src'"'"':'"'"'all'"'"','"'"'code2'"'"':False,'"'"'verify'"'"':True,'"'"'verify_src'"'"':'"'"'reasoners_first'"'"', '"'"'decider'"'"':'"'"'resolve'"'"','"'"'no_think'"'"':False,'"'"'dec_src'"'"':['"'"'solvers'"'"','"'"'code'"'"','"'"'verify'"'"'], '"'"'tag'"'"':'"'"'3c/resolve-rf-alt'"'"'}, open('"'"'.cats_incumbent.json'"'"','"'"'w'"'"'), indent=1) print('"'"'incumbent spec written'"'"') " cd /app/methods/main && nohup python3 optimize.py --phase attribute --draws 1 --pool pot2,decisive,alt > /tmp/attr.log 2>&1 & sleep 3 for i in 4 5; do (cd /app && timeout 1500 python3 selfcheck.py > /tmp/sc$i.log 2>&1 &) ; done sleep 10; echo "launched attribution + 2 more selfcheck passes"' < /dev/null && pwd -P >| /tmp/claude-7c3e-cwd
24322 27:52 python3 optimize.py --phase attribute --draws 1 --pool pot2,decisive,alt
2012
vllm:num_requests_running{engine="0",model_name="node-1b"} 14.0
vllm:num_requests_waiting{engine="0",model_name="node-1b"} 0.0
[metadata] {"noOutputExpected": false}Attribution is ~60% through (188 of ~300 ablation calls). Letting it finish:
args
{
"command": "sleep 560; echo \"=== attribution ===\"; cat /tmp/attr.log; echo \"=== time ===\"; cat /workspace/.timer/remaining_secs",
"description": "Poll edge attribution",
"timeout": 600000
}Bash result
=== attribution ===
[phase attribute] paired leave-one-edge-out on pot2+alt|c1=1:pot_only|mid=None:all|c2=0|v=1:reasoners_first|d=resolve|src=code+solvers+verify
base acc=0.833 obj=1.034
edge (-1, 1) d_obj=-0.1927 d_acc=+0.067 (ablated acc=0.767)
edge (-1, 0) d_obj=-0.0327 d_acc=+0.167 (ablated acc=0.667)
edge (2, 3) d_obj=+0.0000 d_acc=+0.000 (ablated acc=0.833)
edge (0, 3) d_obj=+0.0000 d_acc=+0.000 (ablated acc=0.833)
edge (1, 4) d_obj=+0.0414 d_acc=+0.033 (ablated acc=0.800)
edge (3, 4) d_obj=+0.0414 d_acc=+0.033 (ablated acc=0.800)
edge (1, 3) d_obj=+0.0827 d_acc=+0.067 (ablated acc=0.767)
edge (0, 4) d_obj=+0.0827 d_acc=+0.067 (ablated acc=0.767)
edge (2, 4) d_obj=+0.0827 d_acc=+0.067 (ablated acc=0.767)
edge (0, 2) d_obj=+0.1241 d_acc=+0.100 (ablated acc=0.733)
[cats] elapsed 2165s cache new=258 hit=922
=== time ===
6575
[stdout]
=== attribution ===
[phase attribute] paired leave-one-edge-out on pot2+alt|c1=1:pot_only|mid=None:all|c2=0|v=1:reasoners_first|d=resolve|src=code+solvers+verify
base acc=0.833 obj=1.034
edge (-1, 1) d_obj=-0.1927 d_acc=+0.067 (ablated acc=0.767)
edge (-1, 0) d_obj=-0.0327 d_acc=+0.167 (ablated acc=0.667)
edge (2, 3) d_obj=+0.0000 d_acc=+0.000 (ablated acc=0.833)
edge (0, 3) d_obj=+0.0000 d_acc=+0.000 (ablated acc=0.833)
edge (1, 4) d_obj=+0.0414 d_acc=+0.033 (ablated acc=0.800)
edge (3, 4) d_obj=+0.0414 d_acc=+0.033 (ablated acc=0.800)
edge (1, 3) d_obj=+0.0827 d_acc=+0.067 (ablated acc=0.767)
edge (0, 4) d_obj=+0.0827 d_acc=+0.067 (ablated acc=0.767)
edge (2, 4) d_obj=+0.0827 d_acc=+0.067 (ablated acc=0.767)
edge (0, 2) d_obj=+0.1241 d_acc=+0.100 (ablated acc=0.733)
[cats] elapsed 2165s cache new=258 hit=922
=== time ===
6575
[metadata] {"noOutputExpected": false}Attribution complete on the frozen graph (train, n=30, base acc 0.833). Every edge's paired marginal contribution:
| edge | Δacc | |
|---|---|---|
pot2 → code_exec | +0.100 | most valuable edge in the graph |
alt → verify, pot2 → decision, code_exec → decision | +0.067 | |
alt → decision, verify → decision | +0.033 | |
pot2 → verify, code_exec → verify | 0.000 | inert — the ordering fix worked as designed |
problem → solver_alt | +0.067 acc, but Δobj −0.193 |
That last row is the one worth flagging: my cost-aware objective actively prefers deleting a solver, because dropping to 2 calls raises the efficiency multiplier ~28% while costing only 0.067 accuracy. I'm deliberately not taking it:
args
{
"replace_all": false,
"file_path": "/app/methods/main/METHOD.md",
"old_string": "Negative results worth recording:",
"new_string": "### Per-edge counterfactual credit on the frozen graph\n\nLeave-one-edge-out, paired on identical draws (train, n=30, base acc 0.833):\n\n| edge | Δacc | Δobj |\n| --- | --- | --- |\n| `pot2 → code_exec` | +0.100 | +0.124 |\n| `alt → verify` / `pot2 → decision` / `code_exec → decision` | +0.067 | +0.083 |\n| `alt → decision` / `verify → decision` | +0.033 | +0.041 |\n| `pot2 → verify` / `code_exec → verify` | 0.000 | 0.000 |\n| `problem → solver_alt` | +0.067 | **−0.193** |\n| `problem → solver_pot2` | +0.167 | **−0.033** |\n\nThree things this says. The single most valuable edge is the one feeding the\nprogram-writer into the **free** executor — the heterogeneous node, not any LLM\nedge, carries the most credit. The two zero-credit edges are the program-writer's\nown vote and the code vote into `verify`; they are inert precisely because the\nreasoner-first ordering denies them tie-breaks, and they are kept only as\nlatent fallback coverage (edges are free, so pruning them buys nothing).\n\nMost importantly, the **objective disagrees with the submission on the last two\nrows, and the submission is right**. Deleting a solver drops the graph to 2 LLM\ncalls, which raises the efficiency multiplier by ~28% and therefore *improves*\n`objective` even though accuracy falls. That local optimum is not taken: gate 1\nrequires more than a minimum number of active LLM nodes and pays exactly 0 for\nfailing, so trading a hard gate for a multiplier is a bad bet at any plausible\nodds. Three LLM nodes is the smallest count that is safely above \"effectively one\nLLM call\", and the graph sits deliberately at that corner — leanest cost that\ndoes not gamble on the gate.\n\nNegative results worth recording:"
}Edit result
The file /app/methods/main/METHOD.md has been updated successfully. (file state is current in your context — no need to Read it back)
[metadata] {"filePath": "/app/methods/main/METHOD.md", "oldString": "Negative results worth recording:", "newString": "### Per-edge counterfactual credit on the frozen graph\n\nLeave-one-edge-out, paired on identical draws (train, n=30, base acc 0.833):\n\n| edge | Δacc | Δobj |\n| --- | --- | --- |\n| `pot2 → code_exec` | +0.100 | +0.124 |\n| `alt → verify` / `pot2 → decision` / `code_exec → decision` | +0.067 | +0.083 |\n| `alt → decision` / `verify → decision` | +0.033 | +0.041 |\n| `pot2 → verify` / `code_exec → verify` | 0.000 | 0.000 |\n| `problem → solver_alt` | +0.067 | **−0.193** |\n| `problem → solver_pot2` | +0.167 | **−0.033** |\n\nThree things this says. The single most valuable edge is the one feeding the\nprogram-writer into the **free** executor — the heterogeneous node, not any LLM\nedge, carries the most credit. The two zero-credit edges are the program-writer's\nown vote and the code vote into `verify`; they are inert precisely because the\nreasoner-first ordering denies them tie-breaks, and they are kept only as\nlatent fallback coverage (edges are free, so pruning them buys nothing).\n\nMost importantly, the **objective disagrees with the submission on the last two\nrows, and the submission is right**. Deleting a solver drops the graph to 2 LLM\ncalls, which raises the efficiency multiplier by ~28% and therefore *improves*\n`objective` even though accuracy falls. That local optimum is not taken: gate 1\nrequires more than a minimum number of active LLM nodes and pays exactly 0 for\nfailing, so trading a hard gate for a multiplier is a bad bet at any plausible\nodds. Three LLM nodes is the smallest count that is safely above \"effectively one\nLLM call\", and the graph sits deliberately at that corner — leanest cost that\ndoes not gamble on the gate.\n\nNegative results worth recording:", "originalFile": null, "structuredPatch": [{"oldStart": 179, "oldLines": 6, "newStart": 179, "newLines": 36, "lines": [" | keeping the program-writer's own vote (vs muting it entirely) | +0.033 |", " | a 4th LLM call (third solver) | +0.03 — rejected, worth less than the 1.25× efficiency multiplier |", " ", "+### Per-edge counterfactual credit on the frozen graph", "+", "+Leave-one-edge-out, paired on identical draws (train, n=30, base acc 0.833):", "+", "+| edge | Δacc | Δobj |", "+| --- | --- | --- |", "+| `pot2 → code_exec` | +0.100 | +0.124 |", "+| `alt → verify` / `pot2 → decision` / `code_exec → decision` | +0.067 | +0.083 |", "+| `alt → decision` / `verify → decision` | +0.033 | +0.041 |", "+| `pot2 → verify` / `code_exec → verify` | 0.000 | 0.000 |", "+| `problem → solver_alt` | +0.067 | **−0.193** |", "+| `problem → solver_pot2` | +0.167 | **−0.033** |", "+", "+Three things this says. The single most valuable edge is the one feeding the", "+program-writer into the **free** executor — the heterogeneous node, not any LLM", "+edge, carries the most credit. The two zero-credit edges are the program-writer's", "+own vote and the code vote into `verify`; they are inert precisely because the", "+reasoner-first ordering denies them tie-breaks, and they are kept only as", "+latent fallback coverage (edges are free, so pruning them buys nothing).", "+", "+Most importantly, the **objective disagrees with the submission on the last two", "+rows, and the submission is right**. Deleting a solver drops the graph to 2 LLM", "+calls, which raises the efficiency multiplier by ~28% and therefore *improves*", "+`objective` even though accuracy falls. That local optimum is not taken: gate 1", "+requires more than a minimum number of active LLM nodes and pays exactly 0 for", "+failing, so trading a hard gate for a multiplier is a bad bet at any plausible", "+odds. Three LLM nodes is the smallest count that is safely above \"effectively one", "+LLM call\", and the graph sits deliberately at that corner — leanest cost that", "+does not gamble on the gate.", "+", " Negative results worth recording:", " - **Prompt-level control of thinking length does not work here.** A template", " explicitly forbidding any post-reasoning write-up (`terse`) cut tokens but"]}], "userModified": false, "replaceAll": false}encrypted chain-of-thought — recorded, not exposed
args
{
"command": "python3 -c \"\nimport json,sys; sys.path.insert(0,'/app/methods/main')\nimport swarm as S\nsw=S.Swarm.load('graph.json'); sw.validate()\ng=json.load(open('graph.json'))\nact=sw.active_edges(); llm=sum(1 for i in sw._active_nodes() if g['nodes'][i]['kind']=='llm')\nok = (len(g['nodes'])<=8 and len(act)<=16 and llm>=3\n and max(len(n['template']) for n in g['nodes'])<=2000\n and sum(len(n['template']) for n in g['nodes'])<=12000\n and g['nodes'][-1]['name']=='decision' and g['nodes'][-1]['kind']=='llm')\nprint('FINAL CHECK'); print(' nodes', len(g['nodes']), '/8'); print(' active edges', len(act), '/16')\nprint(' active LLM nodes', llm); print(' templates', max(len(n['template']) for n in g['nodes']), '/2000 max;', sum(len(n['template']) for n in g['nodes']), '/12000 total')\nprint(' validate() passed; ALL CAPS OK =', ok)\n\"\ngrep -c \"\" /app/methods/main/METHOD.md; cat /workspace/.timer/remaining_secs",
"description": "Final validation of submitted artifact"
}Bash result
FINAL CHECK
nodes 5 /8
active edges 10 /16
active LLM nodes 3
templates 913 /2000 max; 2048 /12000 total
validate() passed; ALL CAPS OK = True
245
6525
[stdout]
FINAL CHECK
nodes 5 /8
active edges 10 /16
active LLM nodes 3
templates 913 /2000 max; 2048 /12000 total
validate() passed; ALL CAPS OK = True
245
6525
[metadata] {"noOutputExpected": false}